FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Ilfracombe Town
0 - 2
Tavistock

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Ilfracombe Town and Tavistock.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tavistock

Last Game: Tavistock 0-0 Huddersfield
Wednesday, July 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tavistock win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Ilfracombe Town had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tavistock win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Ilfracombe Town win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tavistock would win this match.

Result
Ilfracombe Town	Draw	Tavistock
30.39% ( -0.04)	21.37% ( 0.02)	48.24% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 69.11% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.05% (

-0.12)

29.94% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.87% (

-0.15)

51.13% (

0.15)

Ilfracombe Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

-0.08)

20.45% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.08% (

-0.13)

52.92% (

0.13)

Tavistock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.89% (

-0.04)

13.11% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.25% (

-0.08)

39.75% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Ilfracombe Town 30.39%

Tavistock 48.24%

Draw 21.37%

Ilfracombe Town	Draw	Tavistock
2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.39%	1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.37%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 48.24%