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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Gorings Mead

Horsham YMCA
5 - 1
Newhaven

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Horsham YMCA and Newhaven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham YMCA

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Newhaven

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham YMCA win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Newhaven had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham YMCA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Newhaven win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham YMCA would win this match.

Result
Horsham YMCADrawNewhaven
42.41% (0.265 0.27)23.13% (0.228 0.23)34.45% (-0.5 -0.5)
Both teams to score 64.27% (-1.016 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.98% (-1.272 -1.27)37.02% (1.266 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.79% (-1.39 -1.39)59.21% (1.384 1.38)
Horsham YMCA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (-0.413 -0.41)17.95% (0.407 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.21% (-0.711 -0.71)48.78% (0.705 0.7)
Newhaven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.84500000000001 -0.85)21.66% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (-1.305 -1.31)54.79% (1.299 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Horsham YMCA 42.41%
    Newhaven 34.45%
    Draw 23.13%
Horsham YMCADrawNewhaven
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.68% (0.321 0.32)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.202 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.84% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.236 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.216 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 34.45%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Horsham YMCA