FA Cup
Horsham YMCA vs Newhaven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Horsham YMCA
Newhaven
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham YMCA win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Newhaven had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham YMCA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Newhaven win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham YMCA would win this match.
Result
Horsham YMCA
42.41%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
23.13%
▲
(+0.23)
Newhaven
34.45%
▼
(-0.50)
Both Teams to Score:
64.27%
▼
(-1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.98%
▼
(-1.28)
Under 2.5
37.02%
▲
(+1.27)
Over 3.5
40.79%
▼
(-1.40)
Under 3.5
59.21%
▲
(+1.39)
Over 4.5
22.78%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 4.5
77.22%
▲
(+1.14)
Horsham YMCA Goals
Over 0.5
82.05%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 0.5
17.95%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
51.21%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 1.5
48.78%
▲
(+0.71)
Newhaven Goals
Over 0.5
78.34%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 0.5
21.66%
▲
(+0.84)
Over 1.5
45.2%
▼
(-1.31)
Under 1.5
54.79%
▲
(+1.30)
Score analysis
Horsham YMCA
42.41%
Draw
23.13%
Newhaven
34.45%
Horsham YMCA
2-1
@
8.77%
▲
(+0.10)
1-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.33)
2-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 42.41%
1-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.33)
2-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 42.41%
Draw
1-1
@
10.21%
▲
(+0.24)
2-2 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.13%
2-2 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.13%
Newhaven
1-2
@
7.81%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.09)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 34.45%
0-1 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.09)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 34.45%