Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Highgate United win with a probability of 59.24%. A win for Hinckley AFC had a probability of 22.01% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Highgate United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.16%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hinckley AFC win was 2-1 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.