FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying

Sep 1, 2024 at 2pm UK

Wellesley Recreation Ground

Great Yarmouth Town
1 - 2
Cheshunt

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Great Yarmouth Town and Cheshunt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Great Yarmouth Town

Last Game: Great Yarmouth Town 2-1 Cambridge City
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Cheshunt

All competitions

Last Game: Cheshunt 2-1 Leyton Orient
Monday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 59.67%. A win for Great Yarmouth Town had a probability of 20.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.61%) and 1-3 (7.14%). The likeliest Great Yarmouth Town win was 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cheshunt in this match.

Result
Great Yarmouth Town	Draw	Cheshunt
20.53% ( 0.43)	19.79% ( 0.06)	59.67% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 63.91% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.88% (

0.36)

32.11% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.3% (

0.42)

53.7% (

-0.42)

Great Yarmouth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

0.6)

28.49% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

0.75)

64.26% (

-0.75)

Cheshunt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.38% (

-0.02)

10.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.57% (

-0.04)

34.43% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Great Yarmouth Town 20.53%

Cheshunt 59.67%

Draw 19.79%

Great Yarmouth Town	Draw	Cheshunt
2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 20.53%	1-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.79%	1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 59.67%