Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glebe win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for East Grinstead Town had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glebe win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.57%) and 3-2 (4.81%). The likeliest East Grinstead Town win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.