Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carshalton Athletic win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Haywards Heath Town had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carshalton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Haywards Heath Town win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carshalton Athletic would win this match.