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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
War Memorial Sports Ground

Carshalton
3 - 1
Haywards Heath Town

FT(HT: 0-0)
Goldsmith (80' pen.)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Carshalton Athletic and Haywards Heath Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carshalton Athletic

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Last Game: Carshalton 1-4 Boston
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Haywards Heath Town

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Last Game: Haywards Heath Town 2-0 Deal Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carshalton Athletic win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Haywards Heath Town had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carshalton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Haywards Heath Town win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carshalton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Carshalton AthleticDrawHaywards Heath Town
63.39% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)18.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)18.13% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 64.48% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.48% (0.029000000000011 0.03)29.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)50.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Carshalton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Haywards Heath Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (0.040999999999997 0.04)29.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (0.051000000000002 0.05)65.09% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Carshalton Athletic 63.4%
    Haywards Heath Town 18.13%
    Draw 18.47%
Carshalton AthleticDrawHaywards Heath Town
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.31% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.19%
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 63.4%
1-1 @ 7.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 18.47%
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 18.13%