Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parkgate win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Campion had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parkgate win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.24%) and 2-3 (4.97%). The likeliest Campion win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.