Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughborough University win with a probability of 60.3%. A win for Bugbrooke St Michaels had a probability of 20.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughborough University win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Bugbrooke St Michaels win was 2-1 (5.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughborough University would win this match.
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