Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basingstoke Town win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Sholing had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basingstoke Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Sholing win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.