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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mill Road

Barnstaple Town
1 - 2
Larkhall Athletic

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Barnstaple Town and Larkhall Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnstaple Town

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Last Game: Barnstaple Town 4-1 Falmouth Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Larkhall Athletic

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Last Game: Hartley Wintney 0-2 Larkhall Athletic
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnstaple Town win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Larkhall Athletic had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnstaple Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.32%) and 3-2 (4.87%). The likeliest Larkhall Athletic win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Barnstaple TownDrawLarkhall Athletic
42.99% (0.024999999999999 0.02)21.09%35.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 72.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.76% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)26.24% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)46.52% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Barnstaple Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (0.007000000000005 0.01)13.39% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.68% (0.011000000000003 0.01)40.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Larkhall Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)16.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.61% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)45.39% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barnstaple Town 42.99%
    Larkhall Athletic 35.92%
    Draw 21.09%
Barnstaple TownDrawLarkhall Athletic
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 4.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.45%
4-3 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 42.99%
1-1 @ 7.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 2.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 4.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-4 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 35.92%