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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Forest Town Stadium

AFC Mansfield
1 - 3
Carlton Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between AFC Mansfield and Carlton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Mansfield

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Last Game: Rossington Main 0-3 AFC Mansfield
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Carlton Town

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlton Town win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for AFC Mansfield had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-3 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for an AFC Mansfield win it was 2-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlton Town would win this match.

Result
AFC MansfieldDrawCarlton Town
13.2% (-0.468 -0.47)15.84% (-0.396 -0.4)70.96% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
Both teams to score 62.49% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.22% (0.86500000000001 0.87)26.78% (-0.866 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.79% (1.09 1.09)47.21% (-1.091 -1.09)
AFC Mansfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)69.58% (0.012 0.01)
Carlton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.26% (0.36799999999999 0.37)6.74% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.1% (0.98700000000001 0.99)24.9% (-0.988 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    AFC Mansfield 13.2%
    Carlton Town 70.96%
    Draw 15.84%
AFC MansfieldDrawCarlton Town
2-1 @ 3.69% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-0 @ 2.46% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.37% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 13.2%
1-1 @ 6.65% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.22% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 15.84%
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 8.09% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 8.06% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 7.27% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-4 @ 5.44% (0.143 0.14)
0-4 @ 4.91% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 4.47% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 3.02% (0.078 0.08)
1-5 @ 2.94% (0.134 0.13)
0-5 @ 2.65% (0.121 0.12)
2-5 @ 1.63% (0.074 0.07)
1-6 @ 1.32% (0.085 0.09)
0-6 @ 1.19% (0.077 0.08)
3-4 @ 1.11% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 70.96%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for AFC Mansfield
rhs 2.0


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