FA Cup
AFC Mansfield vs Carlton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
AFC Mansfield
All competitions
Carlton Town
All competitions
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlton Town win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for AFC Mansfield had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-3 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for an AFC Mansfield win it was 2-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlton Town would win this match.
Result
AFC Mansfield
13.2%
▼
(-0.47)
Draw
15.84%
▼
(-0.40)
Carlton Town
70.96%
▲
(+0.87)
Both Teams to Score:
62.49%
▲
(+0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.22%
▲
(+0.87)
Under 2.5
26.78%
▼
(-0.87)
Over 3.5
52.79%
▲
(+1.09)
Under 3.5
47.21%
▼
(-1.10)
Over 4.5
33.35%
▲
(+1.04)
Under 4.5
66.65%
▼
(-1.04)
AFC Mansfield Goals
Over 0.5
67%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
33%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
30.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
69.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Carlton Town Goals
Over 0.5
93.26%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 0.5
6.74%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 1.5
75.1%
▲
(+0.99)
Under 1.5
24.9%
▼
(-0.99)
Score analysis
AFC Mansfield
13.2%
Draw
15.84%
Carlton Town
70.96%
AFC Mansfield
2-1
@
3.69%
▼
(-0.13)
1-0 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 13.2%
1-0 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 13.2%
Draw
1-1
@
6.65%
▼
(-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 15.84%
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 15.84%
Carlton Town
1-2
@
8.97%
▼
(-0.13)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.21)
1-4 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.15)
0-4 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.14)
0-5 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.13)
2-5 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.08)
1-6 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.09)
0-6 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.08)
3-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 70.96%
0-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.21)
1-4 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.15)
0-4 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.14)
0-5 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.13)
2-5 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.08)
1-6 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.09)
0-6 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.08)
3-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 70.96%