FA Cup
Aug 3, 2024 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT Hillgrounds Leisure

AFC Kempston Rovers vs Brightlingsea Regent - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Kempston Rovers

Brightlingsea Regent

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brightlingsea Regent win with a probability of 56.77%. A win for AFC Kempston Rovers had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brightlingsea Regent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest AFC Kempston Rovers win was 2-1 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brightlingsea Regent would win this match.

Result

AFC Kempston Rovers 23.49% (+0.30)
Draw 19.74% (+0.12)
Brightlingsea Regent 56.77% (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.67% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.12% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 27.88% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 51.4% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 48.59% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 32.04% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 67.96% (+0.24)

AFC Kempston Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 76.34% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 23.66% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 42.23% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 57.76% (-0.14)

Brightlingsea Regent Goals

Over 0.5 89.95% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 10.04% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 66.87% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 33.13% (+0.38)

Score analysis

AFC Kempston Rovers 23.49%
Draw 19.74%
Brightlingsea Regent 56.77%
AFC Kempston Rovers
2-1 @ 5.67% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 3.43% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.73% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 2.47% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.19% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 23.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.87% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.52% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.38% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.74%
Brightlingsea Regent
1-2 @ 9.05% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.93% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.28% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.46% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 4.99% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 3.98% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 2.87% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.05)
1-5 @ 1.83% (-0.04)
3-4 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.32% (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 56.77%

Form Data