Coverage of the Europa League Playoffs clash between Legia Warsaw and Qarabag FK.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warszawa win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warszawa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 38.95% | 26.21% | 34.84% |
| Both teams to score 53.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.79% | 51.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% | 73.05% |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.25% | 25.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% | 60.69% |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% | 28.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% | 63.8% |
| Score Analysis |
Legia Warsaw 38.95%
Qarabag FK 34.84%
Draw 26.21%
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.95% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.84% |


