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Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 7pm UK
Stadion Pod Goricom

Iskra
0 - 1
L. Plovdiv


Drincic (45+2'), Malesevic (50'), Jovanovic (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Iliev (75' pen.)
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Iskra and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iskra win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Lokomotiv Plovdiv had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iskra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Plovdiv win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
IskraDrawLokomotiv Plovdiv
40.34%27.68%31.98%
Both teams to score 48.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.48%57.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.69%78.31%
Iskra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07%27.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45%63.55%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83%33.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23%69.77%
Score Analysis
    Iskra 40.34%
    Lokomotiv Plovdiv 31.98%
    Draw 27.67%
IskraDrawLokomotiv Plovdiv
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 40.34%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.26%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.98%

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