Apollon

5 - 1

Saburtalo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smyrni win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Saburtalo had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smyrni win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Saburtalo win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Apollon Smyrni would win this match.