Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 60.21%. A win for Vikingur Gota had a probability of 20.12% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Vikingur Gota win was 1-2 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.