Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Start win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Start win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Start would win this match.