Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 21
Oct 2, 2021 at 5pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion
Lillestrom

Sarpsborg
2 - 1
Lillestrom

Lindseth (28'), Kone (64')
Canadija (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lehne Olsen (57')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Lillestrom.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawLillestrom
29.49%25.12%45.4%
Both teams to score 55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79%48.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63%70.37%
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85%30.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7%66.31%
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74%21.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82%54.18%
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 29.49%
    Lillestrom 45.4%
    Draw 25.12%
Sarpsborg 08DrawLillestrom
1-0 @ 7.69%
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 29.49%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-2 @ 7.69%
1-3 @ 4.76%
0-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.4%