Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.