Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	Emmen
27.54%	24.65%	47.81%

Both teams to score 55.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62%

47.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4%

69.6%

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85%

31.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52%

67.48%

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12%

19.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.01%

51.99%

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 27.54%

Emmen 47.8%

Draw 24.65%

Jong PSV	Draw	Emmen
1-0 @ 7.22% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.54%	1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 8.08% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.8%