DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 9, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Audi-Sportpark
Ingolstadt2 - 1Erzgebirge Aue
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Erzgebirge Aue.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Ingolstadt 04 | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
36.81% | 28.8% | 34.39% |
Both teams to score 45.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.81% | 61.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.86% | 81.14% |
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.16% | 31.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.72% | 68.28% |
Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% | 33.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.95% | 70.05% |
Score Analysis |
FC Ingolstadt 04 36.8%
Erzgebirge Aue 34.38%
Draw 28.8%
FC Ingolstadt 04 | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.8% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.38% |
How you voted: Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue
FC Ingolstadt 04
54.5%Draw
27.3%Erzgebirge Aue
18.2%11
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2019 12.30pm
Feb 11, 2018 12.30pm
Sep 9, 2017 12pm
Ingolstadt
1-2
Erzgebirge Aue
Lezcano (84')
Lezcano (55'), Gaus (79')
Lezcano (55'), Gaus (79')
Kopke (15'), Bertram (50')
Rizzuto (55'), Fandrich (74'), Kempe (78')
Rizzuto (55'), Fandrich (74'), Kempe (78')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-19 06:04:58
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
2 | Arsenal | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 26 | 49 | 71 |
3 | Liverpool | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Aston Villa | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 63 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 33 |
15 | Brentford | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Everton | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 27 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 33 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 20 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 30 | 84 | -54 | 16 |
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