DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 9, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Audi-Sportpark

Ingolstadt
2 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue

Bilbija (7'), Kaya (79')
Linsmayer (26'), Hawkins (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zolinski (68')
Carlson (60')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.

Result
FC Ingolstadt 04DrawErzgebirge Aue
36.81%28.8%34.39%
Both teams to score 45.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.81%61.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.86%81.14%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16%31.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72%68.28%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58%33.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95%70.05%
Score Analysis
    FC Ingolstadt 04 36.8%
    Erzgebirge Aue 34.38%
    Draw 28.8%
FC Ingolstadt 04DrawErzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36.8%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 11.66%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.38%

How you voted: Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue

FC Ingolstadt 04
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
18.2%
11
rhs 2.0


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