Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for 1860 Munich had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest 1860 Munich win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.