Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for AC Horsens had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest AC Horsens win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.