Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Slovan Liberec had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Slovan Liberec win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.