Czech Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadion Strelnice

Jablonec
2 - 1
Dukla Prague

Nebyla (16'), Chramosta (33')
Cedidla (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ludvicek (36')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between FK Baumit Jablonec and Dukla Prague.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jablonec 5-0 Ceske Budejovice
Wednesday, December 4 at 4.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Dukla Prague 1-2 Slovacko
Wednesday, December 4 at 4.30pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Baumit Jablonec win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Dukla Prague had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Baumit Jablonec win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Dukla Prague win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Baumit Jablonec would win this match.

Result
FK Baumit JablonecDrawDukla Prague
57.91% (-0.483 -0.48)22.5% (0.247 0.25)19.59% (0.234 0.23)
Both teams to score 52.64% (-0.406 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (-0.735 -0.73)46.17% (0.734 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (-0.699 -0.7)68.46% (0.69800000000001 0.7)
FK Baumit Jablonec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-0.411 -0.41)15.66% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31% (-0.766 -0.77)44.69% (0.766 0.77)
Dukla Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41% (-0.177 -0.18)37.59% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64% (-0.173 -0.17)74.37% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    FK Baumit Jablonec 57.9%
    Dukla Prague 19.59%
    Draw 22.49%
FK Baumit JablonecDrawDukla Prague
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.25% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 19.59%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dukla Prague
0-2
Jablonec

Peterka (72'), Hasek (84')
Holly (45+1'), Kanakimana (89')