Coupe de France | Eighth Round
Dec 1, 2024 at 12.45pm UK
Stade de la Liberation

Boulogne
4 - 2
Beauvais

Epailly (2'), Averlant (10'), Hbouch (31'), Busin (63')
Pinot (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Beaka (47'), Corenthin (60')
Antoine Pelletier (25'), Mosango Dongo (30')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Boulogne and Beauvais.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boulogne

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Last Game: Houilles 0-3 Boulogne
Saturday, November 16 at 1pm in Coupe de France
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Beauvais

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Last Game: Beauvais 1-0 US Chantilly
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Coupe de France
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boulogne win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Beauvais had a probability of 11.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boulogne win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Beauvais win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boulogne would win this match.

Result
BoulogneDrawBeauvais
68.96% (0.066000000000003 0.07)19.18% (0.052999999999997 0.05)11.86% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.36% (-0.555 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48% (-0.536 -0.54)46.52% (0.531 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (-0.508 -0.51)68.79% (0.502 0.5)
Boulogne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)12.38% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.75% (-0.289 -0.29)38.25% (0.284 0.28)
Beauvais Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.77% (-0.552 -0.55)48.23% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.6% (-0.406 -0.41)83.4% (0.402 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Boulogne 68.94%
    Beauvais 11.86%
    Draw 19.18%
BoulogneDrawBeauvais
2-0 @ 13.02% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 12.47% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.07% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 68.94%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.18%
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 11.86%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2021 8pm
Round of 32
Beauvais
0-2
Boulogne

Dore (34'), Fallempin (59'), Rodrigo (64'), Duhamel (80')
Abdeldjelil (45+2'), Senneville (78' pen.)
Abdeldjelil (14'), Bumbu (17'), Duterte (29'), Frikeche (59'), Mendy (80')