Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boulogne win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Beauvais had a probability of 11.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boulogne win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Beauvais win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boulogne would win this match.