Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Patronato.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.78%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Patronato |
| 69.3% | 19.54% | 11.16% |
| Both teams to score 42.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% | 49.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% | 71.73% |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% | 13.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.98% | 40.02% |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.51% | 51.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.33% | 85.66% |
| Score Analysis |
Velez Sarsfield 69.29%
Patronato 11.17%
Draw 19.54%
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Patronato |
| 2-0 @ 13.93% 1-0 @ 13.78% 3-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 6.23% 4-0 @ 4.75% 4-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.07% 5-0 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.5% Total : 69.29% | 1-1 @ 9.15% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 3.07% Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.54% | 0-1 @ 4.53% 1-2 @ 3.04% 0-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.1% Total : 11.17% |


