Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.