Catolica
2 - 0
Gremio

Zampedri (44'), Pinares (45+1')
Zampedri (23')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Braz (45+3')
Braz (86')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Gremio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
Universidad Catolica	Draw	Gremio
39.86%	28.01%	32.14%

Both teams to score 47.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.31%

58.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.77%

79.23%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23%

28.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39%

64.61%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33%

33.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.67%

70.32%

Score Analysis

Universidad Catolica 39.85%

Gremio 32.13%

Draw 28%

Universidad Catolica	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.68% Total : 39.85%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28%	0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.13%

Catolica2 - 0Gremio

Data Analysis

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Catolica
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