Copa Libertadores
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Fernando Zampedri 23' yellowcard
  • Fernando Zampedri 44' goal
  • Cesar Pinares 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard David Braz 45'+3'
  • redcard David Braz 86'

Universidad Catolica vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 10, 2020 10.15pm
Catolica 1 - 2 America

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 13, 2020 12.00am
Gremio 0 - 0 Internacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result

Universidad Catolica 39.86%
Draw 28.01%
Gremio 32.14%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.25%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.31%
Under 2.5 58.69%
Over 3.5 20.77%
Under 3.5 79.23%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 71.23%
Under 0.5 28.77%
Over 1.5 35.39%
Under 1.5 64.61%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 66.33%
Under 0.5 33.67%
Over 1.5 29.67%
Under 1.5 70.32%

Score analysis

Universidad Catolica 39.85%
Draw 28%
Gremio 32.13%
Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 12.06%
2-1 @ 8.18%
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28%
Gremio
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.13%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 8, 2019 11.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Walter Kannemann 7' yellowcard
  • Alisson 23' goal
  • Thaciano 76' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Cornejo 45'
  • yellowcard Cesar Fuentes 66'
  • yellowcard German Lanaro 69'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Kuscevic 70'
Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 4, 2019 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sebastian Saez 17' goal
  • Stefano Magnasco 27' yellowcard
  • Juan Cornejo 58' yellowcard
  • Luciano Aued 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Geromel 56'
  • yellowcard Jean Pyerre 88'