Olimpia

2 - 3

Santos

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Santos had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.