Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Londrina win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.01% and a win for Penedense had a probability of 10.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Londrina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.96%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%) , while for a Penedense win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood.