Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anapolis win with a probability of 37.45%. A draw had a probability of 31.38% and a win for Cianorte had a probability of 31.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Anapolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.21%) , while for a Cianorte win it was 0-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.