Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio Fernando Robina
Leganes logo

Llerenense
0 - 2
Leganes


Guerrero (10'), Tome (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nyom (9'), Aguilar (61')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Llerenense and Leganes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Llerenense

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Leganes

All competitions
Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Villarreal II
Sunday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Llerenense had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.83%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Llerenense win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
LlerenenseDrawLeganes
15.62% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)23.78% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)60.59% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 41.73% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.11% (0.039000000000001 0.04)56.89% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (0.030000000000001 0.03)77.81% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Llerenense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.23% (-0.108 -0.11)48.76% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.21% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)83.78% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.065999999999988 0.07)18.54% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.117 0.12)49.79% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Llerenense 15.62%
    Leganes 60.58%
    Draw 23.78%
LlerenenseDrawLeganes
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-1 @ 3.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 15.62%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 23.78%
0-1 @ 15.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 12.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 7.21% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.18% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.04% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 60.58%

rhs 2.0


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