Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2026 12.00pm
Estadio de Tasagaya

Guimar vs Sporting Hortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guimar

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 11.00am
Sporting Hortaleza 1 - 0 Guimar

Sporting Hortaleza

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 11.00am
Sporting Hortaleza 1 - 0 Guimar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guimar win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Sporting Hortaleza has a probability of 36.02% and a draw has a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guimar win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Sporting Hortaleza win is 1-2 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.23%).

Result

Guimar 41.12% ▼ (-0.38)
Draw 22.86% ▼ (-0.79)
Sporting Hortaleza 36.02% ▲ (+1.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.09% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 19.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 59.02% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 40.98% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 35.71% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 64.29% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 22.26% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.74% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Guimar 22.85% ▼ (-0.35)
Draw 55.18% ▲ (+1.34)
Sporting Hortaleza 21.96% ▼ (-1.00)

Team To Score First

Guimar 46.08% ▲ (+1.63)
No Goal 5.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Sporting Hortaleza 48.34% ▼ (-1.56)

Corners

Over 8 47.21% ▲ (+2.93)
Equal 8 10.84% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 8 41.96% ▼ (-2.68)
Over 9 36.98% ▲ (+2.87)
Equal 9 10.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 52.79% ▼ (-2.93)
Over 10.5 28.05% ▲ (+2.61)
Under 10.5 71.95% ▼ (-2.61)

Guimar Goals

Over 1.5 43.6% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 56.4% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 2.5 21.01% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 2.5 78.99% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 3.5 8.64% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 91.36% ▲ (+0.27)

Sporting Hortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 68.96% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 31.04% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 39.3% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 60.7% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 18.02% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 81.98% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 6.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.19% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Guimar 41.12%
Draw 22.86%
Sporting Hortaleza 36.02%
Guimar
2-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 41.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 22.86%
Sporting Hortaleza
1-2 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.23)
0-1 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.34)
Other @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 36.02%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2026 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • A. Alhambra 80' goal
  • redcard 40'
  • redcard 75'
  • redcard L. Alberto 80'