Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.