Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 20, 2021 at 4pm UK

Stadion Nairi

Alashkert
0 - 1
Sheriff Tiraspol

(Sheriff Tiraspol win 4-1 on aggregate)

Santos das Neves (17'), Khurtsidze (30')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luvannor (83')

Coverage of the Champions League Second Qualifying Round clash between Alashkert FC and Sheriff Tiraspol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Alashkert FC win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheriff Tiraspol in this match.

Result
Alashkert FC	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
32.57%	25.19%	42.25%

Both teams to score 56.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.74%

47.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51%

69.49%

Alashkert FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85%

63.16%

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69%

22.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.22%

55.78%

Score Analysis

Alashkert FC 32.57%

Sheriff Tiraspol 42.25%

Draw 25.18%

Alashkert FC	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 7.93% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.57%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.25%