CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Juba Stadium

Al Merreikh
2 - 0
Al-Nasr

Qabbani (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Qabbani (45+2')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Al Merreikh and Al-Nasr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Merreikh

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Last Game: Al-Nasr 0-0 Al Merreikh
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in CAF Champions League
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Al-Nasr

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Last Game: Al-Nasr 0-0 Al Merreikh
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in CAF Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Merreikh win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Al-Nasr had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Merreikh win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.72%) and 3-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.97%), while for an Al-Nasr win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Merreikh would win this match.

Result
Al MerreikhDrawAl-Nasr
66.26% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)22.89% (0.026 0.03)10.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 32.94% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.99% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)62.01% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.25% (-0.032 -0.03)81.74% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Al Merreikh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)18.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (-0.055 -0.05)49.55% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Al-Nasr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.37% (0.012 0.01)59.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)90.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Merreikh 66.26%
    Al-Nasr 10.85%
    Draw 22.89%
Al MerreikhDrawAl-Nasr
1-0 @ 18.57% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 15.72%
3-0 @ 8.87% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 66.26%
0-0 @ 10.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.1%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 10.85%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 8.30pm
First Preliminary Round 1st Leg
Al-Nasr
0-0
Al Merreikh