Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventude | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 35.75% | 29.38% | 34.87% |
| Both teams to score 43.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.89% | 63.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.46% | 82.54% |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% | 33.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% | 70.15% |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% | 34.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% | 70.79% |
| Score Analysis |
Juventude 35.75%
Cuiaba 34.86%
Draw 29.38%
| Juventude | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.75% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 12.29% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.86% |


