Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
