Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
