Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 21
Sep 20, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Ostgotaporten
Malmo

Norrkoping
1 - 1
Malmo

Fransson (90')
Lauritsen (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brorsson (51')
Toivonen (25'), Innocent (83'), Nielsen (86'), Kiese Thelin (90+2')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Norrkoping and Malmo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
IFK NorrkopingDrawMalmo
28.44%24.8%46.77%
Both teams to score 55.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57%47.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36%69.64%
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49%30.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27%66.73%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66%20.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27%52.73%
Score Analysis
    IFK Norrkoping 28.44%
    Malmo 46.77%
    Draw 24.79%
IFK NorrkopingDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 7.37%
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 28.44%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-2 @ 7.87%
1-3 @ 4.96%
0-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.77%