Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.