AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
 

Daegu
5 - 0
Beijing Guoan

Silva (14', 27'), Cesinha (48', 55'), Hoon (90+2')
Nishi (61'), Lee (86'), Kim (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Liang (13')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Daegu and Beijing Guoan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Daegu win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Daegu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Daegu would win this match.

Result
DaeguDrawBeijing Guoan
45.14%23.72%31.13%
Both teams to score 60.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89%41.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49%63.5%
Daegu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52%18.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31%49.68%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48%25.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63%60.36%
Score Analysis
    Daegu 45.14%
    Beijing Guoan 31.13%
    Draw 23.72%
DaeguDrawBeijing Guoan
2-1 @ 9.18%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 45.14%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-1 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.13%

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