Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
