Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
