2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2021 at 12pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 3
Dusseldorf


Nazarov (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kownacki (24'), Karaman (82'), Pledl (89')
Danso (34'), Klaus (42'), Karaman (62')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
35.72%25.71%38.56%
Both teams to score 55.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03%48.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95%71.05%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48%26.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28%61.72%
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06%24.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43%59.57%
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 35.73%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 38.56%
    Draw 25.72%
Erzgebirge AueDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
1-0 @ 8.78%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.03%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.56%