Major League Soccer

Jun 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
1 - 3
Los Angeles

Ojeda (69')
Dan Thorhallsson (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bouanga (45' pen., 86'), Bogusz (80')
Bouanga (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 Orlando City
Sunday, June 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Dallas
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Orlando City 1-2 Los Angeles FC

Although Orlando have home advantage in their favour, we cannot ignore the resurgence of Los Angeles FC of late. They may have to work hard for their win, but the visitors should collect three points nevertheless. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Los Angeles FC
36.08% ( 0.03)	25.52% ( -0.04)	38.39% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.85% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.91% (

0.19)

48.09% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.74% (

0.18)

70.25% (

-0.17)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

0.11)

25.9% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.11% (

0.14)

60.89% (

-0.14)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37% (

0.1)

24.63% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.86% (

0.14)

59.13% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 36.08%

Los Angeles FC 38.39%

Draw 25.52%

Orlando City	Draw	Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 36.08%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.39%