La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 22, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
5 - 2
Almeria

Martin (37'), Dovbyk (39', 43'), Savio (71'), Stuani (85')
Lopez (45+4')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Baptistao (2', 24')
Robertone (26'), Baptistao (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Girona
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Almeria
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

La Liga has a habit of throwing up surprise results when they are least expected, but we just cannot see that happening in this match. Girona have proved themselves to be a strong outfit this term, and the Catalan outfit should have too much for a struggling Almeria in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Almeria
50.34% ( 0.02)	23.38% ( -0.01)	26.28% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.36% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.34% (

0.01)

42.66% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.93% (

0.01)

65.06% (

-0.01)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94% (

0.01)

17.06% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77% (

0.02)

47.23% (

-0.02)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37% (

-0.01)

29.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

-0.01)

65.68% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Girona 50.34%

Almeria 26.28%

Draw 23.37%

Girona	Draw	Almeria
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 4.01% Total : 50.34%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 26.28%