La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 6, 2023 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 0
Almeria

Guruzeta (10'), Garcia (63'), Sancet (81')
Herrera (52'), de Marcos (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 3-3 Granada
Sunday, October 1 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Almeria

Almeria have a talented squad, but it is really difficult to back them at the moment. The visitors will end their winless run at some stage, but it is highly unlikely to be in this match, and we are expecting Athletic to collect all three points in relatively comfortable fashion at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Almeria
61.78% ( 0.06)	21.46% ( -0.01)	16.76% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.68% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

-0.02)

46.1% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59% (

-0.02)

68.4% (

0.01)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.62% (

0.01)

14.38% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.73% (

0.02)

42.27% (

-0.03)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.19% (

-0.06)

40.81% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.61% (

-0.06)

77.38% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 61.78%

Almeria 16.76%

Draw 21.46%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 61.78%	1-1 @ 10.2% 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.46%	0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.76%