La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 26, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
5 - 1
Almeria

En-Nesyri (7'), Lukebakio (8'), Suso (38'), Lamela (51'), Salas (90+2')
Navas (70'), Suso (83'), Lamela (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Suarez Charris (71' pen.)
Fernandes (77'), Baba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, September 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Valencia
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Sevilla are yet to really get going this season, but they will bring a three-game unbeaten run into this contest, including a win over Las Palmas in their last home league match. Almeria are capable of picking up a positive result here, but we are just backing a narrow Sevilla win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Almeria
54.46% ( -3.38)	23.34% ( 1.12)	22.21% ( 2.27)

Both teams to score 53.84% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.51% (

-1.99)

46.49% (

1.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.24% (

-1.89)

68.77% (

1.9)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.04% (

-1.85)

16.97% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.94% (

-3.4)

47.06% (

3.4)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.84% (

1.11)

35.16% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.09% (

1.14)

71.91% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 54.45%

Almeria 22.21%

Draw 23.34%

Sevilla	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.61) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.38) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.45) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.2) Other @ 3% Total : 54.45%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.34%	0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.68) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.99% Total : 22.21%